Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Foligno 52.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 56.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 72.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 64.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Draisaitl
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Draisaitl
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
53.4% (249)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
53.2% (154)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
40.6% (32)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Foligno
Home
56.4% (734)
57.3% (225)
Away
57.5% (717)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Draisaitl
Foligno
P1
55.6%
53.0%
P2
62.1%
51.8%
P3
52.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |