Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Foligno 49.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 52.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 90.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 71.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Draisaitl
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Draisaitl
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Draisaitl
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
49.0% (261)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
57.1% (42)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Foligno
Home
55.1% (508)
48.9% (178)
Away
58.5% (595)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Draisaitl
Foligno
P1
55.8%
40.4%
P2
55.7%
55.8%
P3
59.0%
51.2%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |