Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 95.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 65.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 85.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Draisaitl
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Draisaitl
Foligno
Last 9: Draisaitl 7-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
Foligno
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Draisaitl
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
48.7% (495)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
56.9% (65)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
43.8% (144)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Foligno
Home
55.2% (636)
49.6% (359)
Away
53.4% (560)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Draisaitl
Foligno
P1
50.8%
46.7%
P2
56.6%
52.7%
P3
54.0%
46.7%
OT
67.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | OT | 01:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |