Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Foligno 48.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 78.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 70.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 77.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Draisaitl
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Draisaitl
Foligno
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
2
Draisaitl
Foligno
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
4
Draisaitl
Foligno
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Draisaitl
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.3% (2,810)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
52.3% (730)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
44.0% (455)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Foligno
Home
54.6% (7,049)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Draisaitl
Foligno
P1
52.7%
47.6%
P2
53.6%
50.4%
P3
53.4%
48.3%
OT
57.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OT | 01:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |