Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.2% vs Paul 51.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 78.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Draisaitl
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Draisaitl
Paul
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
10
2
Draisaitl
Paul
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
12
Draisaitl
Paul
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (675)
56.2% (274)
-1.4%
Power Play
60.2% (266)
52.9% (17)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (90)
43.4% (129)
+5.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Draisaitl shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Paul
Home
57.3% (525)
52.3% (235)
Away
54.0% (506)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Draisaitl
Paul
P1
56.1%
53.2%
P2
54.5%
53.8%
P3
56.6%
49.3%
OT
54.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |