Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Paul 53.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 71.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Draisaitl
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.2% (327)
+2.7%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
61.4% (57)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
50.0% (32)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Paul
Home
55.1% (508)
54.6% (183)
Away
58.5% (595)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Draisaitl
Paul
P1
55.8%
56.3%
P2
55.7%
54.8%
P3
59.0%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |