Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Paul 53.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 60.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Draisaitl
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Draisaitl
Paul
Last 9: Draisaitl 6-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
53.8% (753)
-1.4%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
58.9% (90)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
47.4% (78)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Paul
Home
54.5% (778)
54.2% (450)
Away
55.3% (692)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Draisaitl
Paul
P1
54.6%
58.2%
P2
56.1%
50.6%
P3
53.3%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |