Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Paul 50.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 74.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Draisaitl
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Draisaitl
Paul
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
5
Draisaitl
Paul
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
53.0% (644)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
37.5% (24)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
42.9% (177)
+6.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Paul
Home
55.5% (816)
52.5% (516)
Away
51.4% (845)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Draisaitl
Paul
P1
51.1%
47.6%
P2
51.6%
48.4%
P3
56.9%
54.5%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |