Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.0%). Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Sturm 52.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 68.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 79.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Draisaitl
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Draisaitl
Sturm
Last 8: Draisaitl 3-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Draisaitl
Sturm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Draisaitl
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
54.0% (480)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
28.6% (7)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
50.0% (102)
-0.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Sturm
Home
55.5% (816)
54.0% (287)
Away
51.4% (845)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Draisaitl
Sturm
P1
51.1%
53.5%
P2
51.6%
51.0%
P3
56.9%
55.1%
OT
57.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |