Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Sturm 57.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Draisaitl
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Draisaitl
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Draisaitl
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
62.1% (356)
-8.4%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
75.0% (4)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
38.7% (62)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Sturm
Home
55.2% (636)
61.8% (191)
Away
53.4% (560)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Draisaitl
Sturm
P1
50.8%
58.0%
P2
56.6%
57.9%
P3
54.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |