Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Sturm 59.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 71.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 80.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Draisaitl
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Draisaitl
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
60.6% (708)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
61.1% (18)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
56.4% (101)
-1.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Sturm
Home
56.4% (734)
61.6% (451)
Away
57.5% (717)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Draisaitl
Sturm
P1
55.6%
55.9%
P2
62.1%
58.9%
P3
52.4%
64.6%
OT
61.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |