Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.8%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Sturm 55.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Draisaitl
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Draisaitl
Sturm
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
2
Draisaitl
Sturm
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
6
Draisaitl
Sturm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Draisaitl
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
56.1% (716)
-3.7%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
67.7% (31)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
51.1% (133)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Sturm
Home
54.5% (778)
55.6% (412)
Away
55.3% (692)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Draisaitl
Sturm
P1
54.6%
59.6%
P2
56.1%
52.0%
P3
53.3%
55.5%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |