Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Carrick 49.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 60.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 71.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Draisaitl
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Draisaitl
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
48.9% (352)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
81.3% (16)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
42.2% (45)
+7.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carrick
Home
55.5% (816)
46.9% (192)
Away
51.4% (845)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carrick
P1
51.1%
48.1%
P2
51.6%
50.0%
P3
56.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |