Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 63.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Draisaitl
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
55.1% (439)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
66.7% (3)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
49.1% (53)
+0.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carrick
Home
55.1% (508)
58.2% (225)
Away
58.5% (595)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carrick
P1
55.8%
56.7%
P2
55.7%
52.8%
P3
59.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |