Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.2%). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Carrick 53.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Draisaitl
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Draisaitl
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
53.8% (654)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
0.0% (2)
+56.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
63.9% (36)
-5.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carrick
Home
55.2% (636)
50.0% (328)
Away
53.4% (560)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carrick
P1
50.8%
56.7%
P2
56.6%
51.1%
P3
54.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |