Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Carrick 53.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Draisaitl
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Draisaitl
Carrick
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
0
Draisaitl
Carrick
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Draisaitl
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
53.9% (521)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
57.1% (35)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
51.5% (229)
+3.0%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carrick
Home
56.4% (734)
52.7% (408)
Away
57.5% (717)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carrick
P1
55.6%
51.4%
P2
62.1%
56.6%
P3
52.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |