Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Aho 52.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 65.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 56.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Draisaitl
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Draisaitl
Aho
Last 7: Draisaitl 2-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Draisaitl
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Draisaitl
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
51.6% (819)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
58.4% (173)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
46.3% (67)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Aho
Home
55.5% (816)
53.9% (568)
Away
51.4% (845)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Draisaitl
Aho
P1
51.1%
55.4%
P2
51.6%
51.2%
P3
56.9%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |