Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Aho 51.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 54.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 66.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 69.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Draisaitl
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Draisaitl
Aho
Last 5: Draisaitl 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Draisaitl
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
48.5% (778)
+3.9%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
63.4% (191)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
50.8% (65)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Aho
Home
54.5% (778)
51.3% (530)
Away
55.3% (692)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Draisaitl
Aho
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
56.1%
51.3%
P3
53.3%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |