Leon Draisaitl vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Aho 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 61.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 66.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Draisaitl
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
23
(51 meetings)
28
23
Draisaitl
Aho
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
9
8
Draisaitl
Aho
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
13
10
Draisaitl
Aho
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
5
Draisaitl
Aho
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
50.1% (6,619)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
46.3% (464)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Aho
Home
54.6% (7,049)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Draisaitl
Aho
P1
52.7%
51.1%
P2
53.6%
52.0%
P3
53.4%
50.7%
OT
57.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |