Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Aho 54.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 58.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 52.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Draisaitl
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Draisaitl
Aho
Last 6: Draisaitl 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Draisaitl
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
54.5% (870)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
62.4% (266)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
37.1% (62)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Aho
Home
55.2% (636)
53.9% (603)
Away
53.4% (560)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Draisaitl
Aho
P1
50.8%
54.1%
P2
56.6%
55.0%
P3
54.0%
57.4%
OT
67.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |