Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Aho 53.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 56.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 64.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 64.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Draisaitl
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Draisaitl
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
51.2% (785)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
63.8% (213)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
57.9% (57)
-3.4%
On power play, Aho has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Aho
Home
56.4% (734)
54.9% (548)
Away
57.5% (717)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Draisaitl
Aho
P1
55.6%
52.8%
P2
62.1%
58.9%
P3
52.4%
50.6%
OT
61.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |