Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.6% vs Hertl 50.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 79.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 73.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Draisaitl
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Draisaitl
Hertl
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
2
Draisaitl
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (956)
51.5% (891)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
54.8% (135)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (98)
41.5% (130)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Draisaitl shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Hertl
Home
56.1% (626)
52.6% (544)
Away
56.1% (572)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Draisaitl
Hertl
P1
56.9%
49.4%
P2
53.7%
51.7%
P3
56.9%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |