Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 52.5%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 52.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Draisaitl
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Draisaitl
Hertl
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Draisaitl
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Draisaitl
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
4
Draisaitl
Hertl
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
51.6% (1,084)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
61.0% (246)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
44.1% (136)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Hertl
Home
55.5% (816)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.4% (845)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Draisaitl
Hertl
P1
51.1%
55.4%
P2
51.6%
54.8%
P3
56.9%
48.9%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |