Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.8% vs Sturm 55.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 55.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 66.5%
Neutral zone
Glendening 61.0%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Glendening
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Glendening
Sturm
Last 8: Glendening 5-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
1
Glendening
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
2
Glendening
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (428)
56.1% (716)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
67.7% (31)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (174)
51.1% (133)
+4.1%
On even strength, Glendening has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Glendening is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Glendening shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Glendening
Sturm
Home
59.0% (293)
55.6% (412)
Away
59.0% (315)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Glendening
Sturm
P1
61.5%
59.6%
P2
59.1%
52.0%
P3
56.3%
55.5%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
66.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |