Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Sturm 57.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 53.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 58.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.2%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Glendening
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Glendening
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Glendening
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Glendening
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
62.1% (356)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
75.0% (4)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
38.7% (62)
+11.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Glendening shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Glendening
Sturm
Home
54.3% (468)
61.8% (191)
Away
60.0% (413)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Glendening
Sturm
P1
58.2%
58.0%
P2
57.6%
57.9%
P3
56.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |