Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 56.3%). Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Glendening wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs Sturm 56.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 58.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 64.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.7%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Glendening
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Glendening
Sturm
Last 10: Glendening 2-8 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Glendening
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Glendening
Sturm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
4
Glendening
Sturm
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,770)
57.1% (2,719)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
61.3% (62)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,498)
51.0% (498)
-2.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Glendening shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Glendening
Sturm
Home
55.4% (5,255)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
55.9% (5,208)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Glendening
Sturm
P1
56.1%
56.5%
P2
54.5%
54.9%
P3
56.5%
57.4%
OT
48.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |