Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Glendening wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Sturm 59.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 53.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 66.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 61.6%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Glendening
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Glendening
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Glendening
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Glendening
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
60.6% (708)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
56.4% (101)
-8.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Glendening shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Glendening
Sturm
Home
55.4% (469)
61.6% (451)
Away
56.6% (479)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Glendening
Sturm
P1
53.5%
55.9%
P2
57.0%
58.9%
P3
58.0%
64.6%
OT
22.2%
70.6%
Final 5 min
59.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |