Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs Sturm 53.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 53.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 50.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Glendening
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Glendening
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Glendening
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
54.6% (271)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (141)
54.4% (90)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Glendening shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Glendening
Sturm
Home
46.9% (241)
53.0% (168)
Away
56.2% (308)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Glendening
Sturm
P1
50.6%
58.2%
P2
51.8%
53.2%
P3
52.9%
52.3%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |