Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 51.8% vs Hertl 57.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 95.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 60.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Glendening
Hertl
Last 9: Glendening 7-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
4
0
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (404)
58.0% (816)
-4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
56.5% (260)
+43.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (141)
62.9% (35)
-16.1%
On power play, Glendening has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (422).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
46.9% (241)
59.7% (561)
Away
56.2% (308)
55.8% (550)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
50.6%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
64.1%
P3
52.9%
58.5%
OT
83.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Hertl
54.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 04:55 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |