Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 36 meetings). Glendening wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs Hertl 54.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 47-42 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 90.9%
Neutral zone
Glendening 57.5%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
42
(89 meetings)
47
42
Glendening
Hertl
Last 10: Glendening 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
30
Glendening
Hertl
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
30
6
Glendening
Hertl
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
9
6
Glendening
Hertl
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,770)
53.8% (8,268)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
59.3% (1,975)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,498)
46.3% (806)
+2.3%
On even strength, Glendening has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
55.4% (5,255)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
55.9% (5,208)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
56.1%
53.6%
P2
54.5%
54.1%
P3
56.5%
55.3%
OT
48.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 04:55 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |