Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Glendening wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 78.8%
Neutral zone
Glendening 56.4%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Glendening
Hertl
Last 8: Glendening 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
57.0% (718)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
64.9% (188)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
44.2% (77)
+4.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
55.4% (469)
59.2% (463)
Away
56.6% (479)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
53.5%
56.3%
P2
57.0%
55.4%
P3
58.0%
60.5%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |