Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Glendening wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Hertl 55.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 81.2%
Neutral zone
Glendening 51.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Glendening
Hertl
Last 6: Glendening 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
0
Glendening
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
54.1% (717)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
61.9% (210)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
58.1% (31)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
54.3% (468)
58.1% (492)
Away
60.0% (413)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
58.2%
57.1%
P2
57.6%
54.0%
P3
56.0%
56.6%
OT
16.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |