Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Glendening wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 79.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.7%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Glendening
Hertl
Last 10: Glendening 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Glendening
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
2
Glendening
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Glendening
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (535)
51.6% (1,084)
+9.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
61.0% (246)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.1% (136)
+6.2%
On even strength, Glendening has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
59.7% (365)
55.2% (696)
Away
57.7% (359)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
65.3%
55.4%
P2
52.4%
54.8%
P3
58.7%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |