Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Glendening wins 59.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 87.8%
Defensive zone
Glendening 75.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Glendening
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Glendening
Hertl
Last 10: Glendening 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
7
Glendening
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
2
Glendening
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Glendening
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (428)
54.1% (1,117)
+6.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
59.8% (296)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (174)
34.4% (32)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Glendening is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Glendening shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Glendening
Hertl
Home
59.0% (293)
54.3% (709)
Away
59.0% (315)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Glendening
Hertl
P1
61.5%
51.6%
P2
59.1%
53.6%
P3
56.3%
58.6%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
66.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |