Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Foligno 48.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Tavares
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Foligno
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Tavares
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
46.9% (258)
+1.8%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
59.4% (32)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
54.5% (11)
+5.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
50.0% (542)
43.4% (143)
Away
48.2% (587)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
52.2%
46.7%
P2
50.0%
53.1%
P3
45.1%
45.2%
OT
48.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | OT | 04:34 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |