Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Roy 51.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 89.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 69.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jankowski
Roy
Last 7: Jankowski 6-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
51.9% (547)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
53.3% (92)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
53.9% (310)
54.0% (328)
Away
54.6% (271)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
54.6%
53.5%
P2
56.3%
51.6%
P3
51.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |