Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.8%). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Roy 48.9% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Roy 58.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Jankowski
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
49.5% (746)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.7% (75)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
42.7% (110)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
45.3% (64)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.6% (115)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
53.7%
51.1%
P2
45.8%
44.6%
P3
43.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%