Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Roy 48.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 78.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 70.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Jankowski
Roy
Last 10: Jankowski 8-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jankowski
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
1
Jankowski
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
48.7% (3,719)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
49.5% (283)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
45.5% (477)
-2.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
51.9% (1,940)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
51.2%
46.3%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |