Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Roy 47.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 85.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 67.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jankowski
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
47.5% (617)
+1.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
39.6% (53)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
46.4% (97)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
54.2% (72)
47.2% (398)
Away
47.3% (91)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
54.2%
48.6%
P2
42.4%
48.8%
P3
55.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |