Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Roy 48.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 74.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jankowski
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
48.3% (633)
+10.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
52.1% (48)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
43.7% (87)
-0.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
54.7% (128)
50.8% (376)
Away
56.3% (215)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
54.5%
53.8%
P2
56.5%
43.5%
P3
56.2%
46.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |