Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Roy 47.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 52.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Jankowski
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
48.6% (679)
+2.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
48.0% (50)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
34.7% (49)
+9.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
46.8% (188)
49.3% (345)
Away
53.5% (245)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
51.6%
47.6%
P2
49.3%
47.1%
P3
50.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |