Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.9% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 74.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 71.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 76.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Last 10: Jankowski 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Jankowski
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Jankowski
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
60.3% (1,517)
-10.8%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
61.5% (387)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
55.0% (220)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
50.4% (399)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
47.2% (411)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
49.4%
56.8%
P2
48.7%
64.6%
P3
48.7%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |