Mark Jankowski vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 81.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 78.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 77.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Last 10: Jankowski 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Jankowski
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Jankowski
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
2
Jankowski
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
58.8% (3,445)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
51.4% (2,811)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
51.9% (1,940)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
51.2%
57.0%
P3
50.2%
55.1%
OT
20.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |