Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
55.0% (1,084)
-5.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.8% (303)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
40.3% (149)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (72)
54.8% (759)
Away
47.3% (91)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
54.2%
55.3%
P2
42.4%
51.9%
P3
55.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%