Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 72.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
56.2% (983)
-4.9%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
55.5% (254)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
52.0% (102)
-8.0%
On power play, Jankowski has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
46.8% (188)
56.2% (697)
Away
53.5% (245)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
51.6%
54.5%
P2
49.3%
55.5%
P3
50.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%