Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.8%). Jankowski wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 62.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Jankowski
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
56.1% (690)
+2.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.6% (96)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
45.9% (109)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
54.7% (128)
58.3% (408)
Away
56.3% (215)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
57.7%
P2
56.5%
54.8%
P3
56.2%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |