Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 53.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.4% (260)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
54.0% (261)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
45.3% (64)
54.9% (801)
Away
49.6% (115)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
53.7%
58.0%
P2
45.8%
56.7%
P3
43.4%
55.4%
Final 5 min
58.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%