Mark Jankowski vs Sam Carrick

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.5%). Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Jankowski 53.2% vs Carrick 53.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor Carrick leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Jankowski 73.4%
Defensive zone Carrick 67.5%
Neutral zone Carrick 50.8%
Result Sam Carrick favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jankowski Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 7 (14 meetings)
7
7
Jankowski Carrick
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Carrick

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Jankowski Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Jankowski Carrick
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Jankowski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
54.9% (428)
-1.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
66.7% (3)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
50.0% (50)
+7.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +25.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jankowski is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Jankowski shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carrick
Home
53.9% (310)
58.2% (225)
Away
53.7% (255)
51.2% (256)
By Period
Jankowski
Carrick
P1
54.4%
55.2%
P2
55.7%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%
51.0%
53.8%
Carrick
54.0%
56.5%
54.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 5, 2026 2 14:28 Defensive Sam Carrick
Feb 5, 2026 2 01:51 Defensive Mark Jankowski
Feb 5, 2026 1 02:45 Offensive Mark Jankowski
Dec 29, 2025 3 07:32 Offensive Mark Jankowski
Dec 29, 2025 3 01:24 Offensive Mark Jankowski
Dec 29, 2025 1 11:27 Defensive Sam Carrick
Dec 29, 2025 1 11:06 Defensive Sam Carrick
Dec 29, 2025 1 01:39 Neutral Sam Carrick
Nov 26, 2025 3 12:59 Offensive Mark Jankowski
Nov 26, 2025 3 12:54 Defensive Sam Carrick
Nov 26, 2025 2 05:04 Neutral Mark Jankowski
Nov 26, 2025 1 16:53 Neutral Sam Carrick
Nov 4, 2025 3 18:40 Defensive Mark Jankowski
Nov 4, 2025 3 18:21 Neutral Sam Carrick