Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Carrick 53.0% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 77.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Jankowski
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
53.9% (521)
-4.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.1% (35)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
51.5% (229)
+10.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carrick
Home
54.2% (72)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.3% (91)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Jankowski
Carrick
P1
54.2%
51.4%
P2
42.4%
56.6%
P3
55.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%