Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 53.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 50.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Jankowski
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
48.9% (352)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
42.2% (45)
-3.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carrick
Home
45.3% (64)
46.9% (192)
Away
49.6% (115)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Jankowski
Carrick
P1
53.7%
48.1%
P2
45.8%
50.0%
P3
43.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%